Subscription boxes were all the craze when they first came out some eight years ago. People loved the idea of getting a box curated with items they might or might not have otherwise purchased on their own.
But today, some argue that the novelty of the subscription box is gone as the space has gotten more crowded and consumers are losing interest. So is the boom over, or is it just getting underway?
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If venture funding in the sector is any indication, then the sectorâs naysayers just may be right.
In 2017, venture funding in subscription companies slid to its lowest total since 2010. Specifically, subscription startups raised a mere $39.7 million across 20 deals last year. Thatâs down 343 percent from the peak year of 2014, when 30 subscription companies brought in $175.8 million. Itâs also down 254 percent compared with the $140.4 million raised in the space across 26 deals in 2016.

So whatâs happened?
Opening Up
Founded in 2010, beauty sample subscription service Birchbox was the first of the e-commerce subscription service to launch. Other companies following similar models soon followed including,, and.
2014 was a hot year for the sector. During that 12-month period, raised a $60M round; raised $25 million; brought in $18 million. and each also raised $15 million in 2014.
The subscription space has seen a couple of high-profile exits with data-driven subscription clothing service Stitch Fix in the first tech IPO led by a woman last year, and Dollar Shave Club for $1 billion by Unilever in 2016.
But itâs clear that not every subscription company is destined for success. Fickle consumers who get bored easily make it a challenging space. And last yearâs numbers were disappointing, to say the least.
âTo stay the distance, brands using a subscription model need a very strong point of difference and superior customer service,â Sarah Boumphrey, global lead of economies and consumers at Euromonitor International, was quoted by as saying.
VCs Speak
, managing director of, has invested in two subscription companies: New York-based and Culver City, Calif.-based.
In his opinion, only companies that created a strong brand with good product margins will succeed.
âMany companies that failed had unattractive product margins and customer acquisition costs were too high,â he told Crunchbase News via email.
Todd Breeden, a principal at New York-based KiwiVenture Partners, also invested in Bespoke Post.
In general, he said his firm is bullish on e-commerce as a whole but believes subscription âhas its place within e-commerce,â proven by successful exits like Dollar Shave Club.
âWhile subscriptions can offer great value for consumers and economic stability for businesses, ultimately they’re a feature of a great e-commerce business centered around talented management and a strong brand,â Breeden said. âI’d say the reason a lot of subscription companies have struggled is not because the model is broken, but that they lacked either talent, margins, supply chain or a definitive brand that ultimately drives the success of an online business.â
Keeping Subscriptions Fresh
, co-founder and co-CEO of Los Angeles-based, believes his company has continued to grow because of its emphasis on customization and personalization for each customer.
Founded in 2010 initially as a newsletter and blog focused on womenâs lifestyle content, FabFitFun launched its subscription membership service in 2013. It raised $3.5 million in 2015 from investors such as,, and. The way it works is that members get a seasonal box four times a year with items valued at more than $200, according to the company. Customers pay $49 a quarter (or $180 a year) and also get access to specialized original online content and member-only exclusive sales, according to Broukhim.
The company works to find the âbest newâ beauty, wellness, fashion, and fitness products and include full-size versions of them in their boxes. An example of items found in a given box includes candles, an eye mask, earrings or a bracelet (customers can sometimes choose what they prefer), and a massage roller.
Revenue growth has been âsubstantialâ for the 220-person company, Broukhim said. He wouldnât disclose exact numbers but said the company has grown three times over the last few years both in terms of revenue and members with members numbering in the âhundreds of thousands.â FabFitFun is not yet profitable, he added, but it has been cash flow positive for over two years.
Members range in age but Broukhim said the âsweet spotâ is women in their 30s.

To customize the products, FabFitFun conducts onboarding surveys for each customer and is starting to use a combination of machine learning and data science to pick out products. It also gives members the element of choice in some cases.
âWe aim to be someoneâs best friend curating their entire lifestyle,â Broukhim said.
âItâs this really deep focus on the notion of membership that has driven things for us,â he added, with a comparison to Netflixâs model. âAs we continue to add more things that benefit our members and also focus on customization and personalization, we find that customers love what we do and stick around for longer.â
A Tailored Subscription
In October 2017, Â âa New York-based startup delivering âgoods and guidance for the modern manââraised $8 million in a Series A round that included participation from Walden Venture Capital,, and Kiwi Venture Partners. The company has more than 100,000 paying subscribers, growing more than 50 percent year-over-year. It has also launched an ecommerce component to its site, outside of the boxes.
Bespoke Post Co-founder and CEO started the company in 2012 on the premise that the menâs market âwas underserved in a retail space.â
The startup launches lifestyle boxes each month across a variety of categories with an emphasis on finding artisanal, not-found-everywhere brands. Each box contains products such as cocktail wares or a weekend bag at the cost of $45. Subscribers are notified of the options for the boxes and can opt out of any given month with no penalty, according to Prabhu.
âWe have always thought that was important,â he said. âAnd now youâre seeing more companies offering the opt-out option.â
Bespoke Post has 40 employees and has made an effort to grow âwithout taking a ton of funding.â
âWeâve consciously been very lean for the size of the company,â Prabhu said. âOne of our company values is to be scrappy.â
Walton Venture Fundâs Berliner said his firm was drawn to investing in the startup mainly due to âa great founding team who have successfully worked together, attractive customer demographic, and a strong business model.â
Meanwhile, Breeden said KiwiVenture Partners doesnât look at the subscription as being a defining characteristic of Bespoke Postâs business or the brand.
âThe team’s ability to deliver a high-end brand experience through an affordable price-point and consumer-friendly offering via subscription have been tremendous drivers of growth to date and continue to create success going forward,â he told Crunchbase News.
Prabhu attributes Bespoke Postâs success so far to the companyâs âmassive thirst for quality.â
âWe ask ourselves for any box we launch â âwould I pay $45 for this?ââ Prabhu said. âWe study if is it up to par for our customers. If not, weâll nix the box or modify it. A lot of companies in the space have focused on not sending great stuff, or things that just pile up in a corner. Thatâs our biggest fear.â
Itâs probably safe to say that the number of subscription companies will continue to grow; however, how many will actually raise money and how many will still exist in five years? The space is turning into survival of the fittest, with only the startups with the most compelling models and strongest management teams coming out ahead.
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