糖心视频

A panel of economists now say that a recession is less likely than the same panel forecast last year, adding that the was able to steer clear of a downturn with its three interest rate cuts last year.

The (NABE) reported Monday that only 13% of the business economists surveyed expect a recession this year. The same time last year, 42% of respondents said they expected a recession in 2020.

Instead, about 74% of the respondents said their forecasts had a recession coming in 2021 or later.

The survey collected 210 responses during the last week of January and the first week of February, meaning the survey was conducted when the was only beginning to spread.

The economists appeared to be pleased with the Fed鈥檚 efforts to steer clear of a recession.

Last year, the Federal Open Market Committee cut rates three for a total of 75 basis points. At the time, the Fed cited concerns over trade policies and geopolitical tension, adding that inflation was running below its 2% target.

Almost two-thirds, or 63%, of the surveyed NABE members said the Fed now has monetary policy right for the U.S. economy.

The NABE members said some of Trump鈥檚 economic policies had helped the economy get a boost to GDP. About 44% of the respondents said policies like the 2017 tax cut and deregulation had provided a 鈥渕odest boost鈥� to the economy.

But nearly all of the respondents, around 90%, said the tariffs were a net negative and 鈥渕odest drag鈥� to GDP.

Brian Cheung is a reporter covering the banking industry and the intersection of finance and policy for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on Twitter聽.

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